Friday, May 02, 2008

Democrats Sow Seeds of Their Undoing

Charlie Cook of the National Journal outlines the problem the Democratic Party now has. Their electable candidate can't be nominated and their nominee is unelectable:

Despite the recent show of strength by Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., the odds against her winning the Democratic presidential nomination are as imposing as ever — and probably worse.

Now, about the only plausible argument that Obama is more electable is to claim that Clinton’s backers would probably get over an Obama nomination better and sooner than vice versa.

Indeed, while Obama might lose some states by narrower margins than Clinton, his weakness among downscale and older white voters raises questions about whether he would be as competitive as Clinton in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, or, for that matter, run as strongly as Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., did in 2004.

Yet in spite of the reality that the Democrats are about to nominate a candidate who it would appear cannot possibly win, the internal damage to their party if they fail to do so could be irreparable:

Even if they wanted to nominate Clinton, the fear of damage to the party is sufficient to argue against it. Between the newbies — the young and new voters who are so enthusiastic for Obama — and the black community — who ironically were somewhat late to join the Obama bandwagon after his Iowa win — the fallout from a spurning of Obama would be profound.

So the Democratic Party is about to nominate a candidate that will almost certainly lose in order to save their political formation from total collapse. I must admit that if you had told me in January that this would be the situation the Democrats would find themselves in, I would have said you are crazy.

It isn't just the nomination process that has caused this to happen, but the Democratic Party's internal policy of playing on race, ethnicity, and gender as political issues. Now this way of doing political business will either cause them to lose in a year the pundits said they should win-and possibly lose in a landslide-or it will render their party ineffective at the national level.

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At Friday, May 02, 2008 7:25:00 PM, Blogger groetzinger said...

You don't seem to take into consideration the fact that Bush has run the Republican party into the ground.People are looking for change and are willing to roll the dice with anyone that is the opposite of the current administration.

At Saturday, May 03, 2008 7:54:00 PM, Blogger Fabian's straight talk said...

As usual your commentary is off the mark there groetzinger. What you fail to realize is a republican at his/her worst is better for the nation than a democrat at his/her best.

People may want change but not to the degree that they give up freedom and liberties. This is why you do not see trends leading to the dems. Quite the opposite is true.

At Sunday, May 04, 2008 11:04:00 AM, Blogger groetzinger said...

I think the trend is leading towards the Dems.,that is what is being said,you know the "polls".But you have to open your eyes to see it!


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