Is Obama the Next McGovern?Newsweek recently published a piece that stated the obvious-that in the wake of Barack Obama's loss in the Pennsylvania Primary, and increasing doubts among everyday people in Middle America about his ability to understand what life is like for most of them, Barack Obama's national lead against Hillary Clinton is slipping:
After an important primary win in Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton has reduced
Democratic rival Barack Obama's double-digit lead among registered Democrats and
voters leaning Democratic by more than half, according to the latest NEWSWEEK
Poll. Plagued by controversies over the Rev. Jeremiah Wright's comments and the
candidate's own "bitter" remarks, Obama has seen his favorability rating slip
significantly in the last week, the poll found.
One of the more problematic results for Obama was that four in 10 of
registered voters (including Republicans and independents) now have an
unfavorable opinion of him—and the same number said there is "no chance" they
will vote for Obama if he becomes the nominee. Four in 10 registered voters (41
percent) say they have a less favorable opinion of Obama based on his
association with his former pastor, Wright, whose racially and politically
inflammatory sermons have been circulated on the Internet and covered in the
media. A similar number (42 percent) say they will not vote for Obama because of
comments he made about "bitter" small-town residents clinging to guns and
For several weeks now, I have believed that Barack Obama's national lead against Hillary Clinton would begin to collapse as soon as more information about his ties to Jeremiah Wright, Wright's hatred of America, and anti-Semetism began to emerge. Obama has "publicly "denounced" Wright's comments and views, but one has to wonder how serious Obama's denunciation is when Obama sat under the man's preaching for 20 years. Further, we now know that Wright apparently told Obama that if he were nominated "you will probably have to distance yourself from me."
It is also becoming increasingly clear that Barack Obama holds to the same elitist attitude that most of academia does about Middle America-that we don't know what's good for us, but people like Obama do. Before the Democratic Party's nominating process is complete, Clinton will likely pull even with Obama nationally and may even surpass him. All of that may come too late for Clinton to win the Democratic nomination in Denver, but it does mean that Obama will receive the nomination as one of the most personally unpopular candidates the Democrats will have nominated in the last 50 years.
Obama could face a defeat along the lines of George McGovern in November.