Monday, November 03, 2008

The Final Projection

Our final map projection has Barack Obama over 270 without even the major swing States in play:

<p><strong>><a href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

Based on our projections and those of others, I believe the following States are in play-Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Missouri, and Nevada.

As promised when we began this weekly series, the time has come to make the official prediction of this website on the outcome of the 2008 Presidential Election. How will all of this likely play out?

McCain will carry Ohio, Florida, and Nevada. The Missouri bellwether will even be broken in this election, as McCain will, I believe, carry the Show Me State. Another tight Red-Blue election will be the result Tuesday night, but I do not believe that John McCain's solid closing will be enough to save him.
<p><strong>><a href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

Right now I am saying that Virginia leans Obama, and I believe that it is tight enough to switch to the Republican column tomorrow, but even that will not be enough to turn the election.

John McCain is closing very well, I'm just not sure that his strong finish is quite enough.

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2 Comments:

At Monday, November 03, 2008 9:41:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

David,
I think you're to kind and generous to McCain.
In addition to the states you have in the Obama column I would add Ohio, Nevada, Missouri, North Carolina, Florida and North Dakota.
Tuesday night is going to be a landslide for Obama.
Oh, and Dems make 59 in the Senate.

SteveMule

 
At Monday, November 03, 2008 12:53:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree with SteveMule except for Missouri, North Carolina, North Dakota, and 59 seats. I think it will be slightly less than that, but at least Dems will have majority in the Senate without counting Lieberman.

 

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