Monday, October 27, 2008

The Map This Week: October 27

Thanks to the latest Strategic Vision polls in Ohio and Florida-the ones for which the pollster has received death threats, Ohio and Florida now lean in favor of John McCain:

<p><strong>><a href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

In spite of John McCain's improved standing this week, I'm just not prepared to say that McCain has swung Virginia to a toss-up or that the fundamental dynamic of the race has changed over the last week. Barack Obama still has an overall lead that would likely put him in the White House were the election held today.

Yes, McCain has a lot of ground to make up in a week. However, the polls also make it clear that this race is not too far gone. I've talked to several political insiders who believe that the Obama camp may be sitting on their laurels expecting victory. I hate to give tips to the other side, but if they thought that conservatives were going to stay home in droves in frustration (many of us thought that might be the case when McCain won the nomination), it doesn't appear that this will be the case. Conservatives will show up in force on Tuesday next with the sole purpose of attempting to keep Barack Obama from winning the election.

It would be political suicide for the Obama campaign to underestimate conservative determination.

NOTE: Next Monday will be the last map projection and we'll predict the final outcome of the presidential race.

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6 Comments:

At Monday, October 27, 2008 9:31:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

*

Should The top management of the Public listed company be responsible for the company performance, eg company nearly get wind up?

http://bailoutmovie.blogspot.com/

Are you a Partisan?

Should they give their view......? If any party did not give their views, send it to their supporter to question them....

 
At Monday, October 27, 2008 11:00:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

David,
You really are engaging in wishful thinkng. Conservatives and Conservatism have had their day and they blew it.
This election day will see a clear and decisive rejection of past eight years (and longer if you want to count since '94 and the "Contract on America" days). Get used to it.

SteveMule

 
At Monday, October 27, 2008 1:49:00 PM, Blogger Dave Oatney said...

Steve;
Assuming Barack Hussein does win the election, y'all are really in for it after Hussein blows it and we see what happens in two years and in four...I'm not the least bit worried about the state of conservatism.

 
At Monday, October 27, 2008 7:09:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Goodness. Your spewing hatred and fear by calling Senator Obama "Barrack Hussein" and "Hussein" speaks *volumes*. It is exactly this sort of divisive hate that America is fed up with and one of the reasons why Republicans are going to lose badly on Election Day. Republicans have failed miserably in their inability to lead the country since Bush became president. On all fronts...domestic and foreign. There is absolutely no way in the world Senator Obama "blows it", especially after the disaster of the past eight years of Bush/Cheney, who represent the worst administration in modern history, bar none. "Real Americans" will be dancing in the streets on Election Night. "Our long national nightmare will be over" on 1/20/09, to quote Gerald Ford.

 
At Monday, October 27, 2008 10:48:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

David,
Look at the other polls too. Not just the one tells you what you want to hear. You're in denial, dude.

SteveMule

 
At Tuesday, October 28, 2008 10:03:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

David,
The RNC is pay $400K for ads in Montanna!! Montanna, for goodness sakes. McCain's going down and taking the GOP downticket with him. The GOP should have used that money for a seate race or two, or three, ... or TEN!

SteveMule

 

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