Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Vice Presidential Blues

MSNBC and the Associated Press are reporting on Barack Obama's short list as he is apparently nearing the selection of a running mate:

The list of potential running mates is widely believed to be down to four names: Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine, Delaware Sen. Joe Biden, Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh and Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius. Obama's major rival for the nomination, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York, was seen by some Democrats as a longshot pick.


As was pointed out in this space yesterday, Virginia is going to be critical to the outcome of the General Election, and that has got to be on Obama's mind as he considers his options. The map is slowly beginning to tilt in John McCain's direction, and the selection of a moderate like Tim Kaine or Evan Bayh has the real potential to reverse that trend, putting Virginia in play for Obama or making Indiana a very close fight.

If Obama surprises some people and chooses Hillary Clinton, I'm not sure that pick will pay the political dividends that either Obama or Clinton might be hoping for. Hillary Clinton is hugely unpopular with a whole lot of people.

John McCain, on the other hand, has a problem of his own:

McCain's top contenders are said to include Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.


I am quite uncertain is to the impact of Tim Pawlenty on the Republican base, and only time would tell. However, entirely too many base conservatives now see Mitt Romney as disingenuous and fraudulent, and I do not believe that a Vice Presidential choice that involves Romney would do near as much to energize nservatives as the McCain campaign may believe.

We are in for a very interesting two weeks.

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1 Comments:

At Wednesday, August 20, 2008 10:00:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

David,
How does Joe Lieberman sound to you? There's some serious buzz that he's going to get the nod from McCain.

SteveMule

 

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