The Electoral Map This Week: Obama's MoveThe electoral map this week takes a shift in favor of Barack Obama that seems to mirror the national polls:
Michigan has gone from being a toss-up to being back into Obama's column in the wake of public reaction in that State to the first presidential debate. Further, a significant polling call has to be made in the State of New Hampshire. While internal State polling there still suggests that the race is extremely tight there and that New Hampshire could return to toss-up status before November, there is clearly a trend there as Obama continues to maintain a very slight lead in every poll taken. As a result, New Hampshire should be put into the Democratic column for now.
This is a significant development on the map, because it gives Barack Obama 264 electoral votes. There are only three toss-up States this week; Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia. John McCain has to carry all three of these to win. If Obama carries Virginia, he wins regardless of the outcome in Colorado and Nevada. If McCain carries Virginia and Nevada, but Obama carries Colorado, he still gets 273 electoral votes and wins the election. If John McCain carries Virginia and Colorado, but Obama carries Nevada, the contest ends in an electoral tie of 269-269, and (probably) gets thrown into the House of Representatives.
NOTE: The electoral map was moved from its usual day on Monday to today because of coverage of the bailout vote in the House.
Labels: Presidential Election